Events
Every major event has an analysis page tied to market data.
Board refreshes itself: past events leave, new ones appear.
Coming up
Fed rate decision, December
EconomyImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
Bank of Japan policy meeting
EconomyImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
Satellite broadband expansion
SpaceImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
NATO spending commitments
Defense & conflictsImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
US defence budget cycle
Defense & conflictsImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
Eurovision Song Contest
MusicImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
Ligue 1 broadcast economics
SportImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
FIFA World Cup 2026 build-up
SportImminent
Nov 2
tomorrow
Active signals
FIFA World Cup 2026 build-up
Sport · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: a traditional powerhouse lifts the trophy.
93/100
+6 / 24h
NATO spending commitments
Defense & conflicts · Euro area
Markets clearly expect one thing: defence budgets are raised again.
89/100
-1 / 24h
Fed rate decision, December
Economy · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: the Fed cuts rates at this meeting.
88/100
+1 / 24h
Next frontier model release
AI · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: AI spending keeps accelerating.
88/100
-1 / 24h
Obesity drug supply and pricing
Health · Denmark
Markets clearly expect one thing: the result comes out positive.
87/100
-5 / 24h
US-China trade negotiation round
Geopolitics · China
Slight edge to one side: new restrictions rather than a thaw, but nothing is settled.
85/100
-1 / 24h
Chinese luxury demand recovery
Luxury · China
Markets clearly expect one thing: demand holds up.
85/100
+5 / 24h
Champions League knockout rounds
Sport · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: the seeded favourites go through, but nothing is settled.
85/100
+5 / 24h
Blockbuster game release window
Gaming · United States
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
85/100
-1 / 24h
US defence budget cycle
Defense & conflicts · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: more spending and more orders are coming.
83/100
+3 / 24h
OPEC+ production decision
Energy · Saudi Arabia
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
83/100
+2 / 24h
Middle East escalation risk
Geopolitics · Israel
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: de-escalation holds in the coming weeks, or a new escalation and an oil risk premium.
82/100
+2 / 24h
Stadium tour season
Music · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: demand clearly outstrips supply.
81/100
-4 / 24h
Luxury quarterly results
Luxury · France
Markets clearly expect one thing: demand holds up.
81/100
+1 / 24h
Weight-loss drug adoption
Health · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: the result comes out positive.
81/100
+1 / 24h
US midterm elections
Politics · United States
Slight edge to one side: the party markets favour keeps control, but nothing is settled.
81/100
+2 / 24h
Quarterly earnings season
Business · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: things go the way the market is positioned.
81/100
-1 / 24h
Bitcoin cycle phase
Crypto · Global
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
81/100
-1 / 24h
Ukraine negotiation track
Geopolitics · Ukraine
Markets bet the other way, they expect the front line and the war continue unchanged.
81/100
+0 / 24h
Foundry capacity cycle
Technology · Taiwan
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
81/100
+0 / 24h
Hyperscaler capex season
Technology · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
80/100
-4 / 24h
Taiwan Strait tension window
Geopolitics · Taiwan
Markets bet the other way, they expect an incident that disrupts chip supply.
80/100
+7 / 24h
Lunar mission window
Space · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the launch happens on schedule, or a delay or a failure.
79/100
+7 / 24h
French budget vote
Politics · France
Slight edge to one side: the budget passes, with concessions, but nothing is settled.
79/100
+6 / 24h
EU joint defence procurement
Defense & conflicts · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
79/100
+6 / 24h
EV price war intensity
Automotive · China
Markets clearly expect one thing: it plays out the way the market expects.
79/100
+2 / 24h
US inflation report
Economy · United States
Slight edge to one side: inflation keeps cooling, but nothing is settled.
79/100
-7 / 24h
Next heavy-lift test flight
Space · United States
Slight edge to one side: the launch happens on schedule, but nothing is settled.
79/100
-1 / 24h
Ethereum network upgrade
Crypto · Global
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
78/100
+1 / 24h
Formula 1 championship run
Sport · United Arab Emirates
Slight edge to one side: the championship leader wins again, but nothing is settled.
78/100
+1 / 24h
Summer travel booking wave
Travel · Euro area
Markets clearly expect one thing: bookings stay strong this season.
78/100
+4 / 24h
Bank of Japan policy meeting
Economy · Japan
Slight edge to one side: the decision goes the way markets already expect, but nothing is settled.
77/100
+4 / 24h
Coffee harvest outlook
Food & agri · Brazil
Markets clearly expect one thing: prices stay under upward pressure.
77/100
-3 / 24h
Next sanctions package
Geopolitics · Russia
Slight edge to one side: sanctions are tightened further, but nothing is settled.
77/100
+2 / 24h
EU tariffs on Chinese cars
Automotive · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: it plays out the way the market expects, but nothing is settled.
77/100
+4 / 24h
Nuclear restart approvals
Energy · Japan
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
77/100
+5 / 24h
Olympic Games build-up
Sport · Italy
Markets clearly expect one thing: the usual leading nations top the medal table.
77/100
+6 / 24h
ECB policy meeting
Economy · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: the ECB cuts or signals a cut, but nothing is settled.
77/100
-6 / 24h
Céline Dion return dates
Music · Canada
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: demand clearly outstrips supply, or demand is softer than the hype suggests.
77/100
-3 / 24h
Cocoa supply crunch
Food & agri · Nigeria
Markets clearly expect one thing: prices stay under upward pressure.
77/100
+3 / 24h
Fast fashion inventory cycle
Fashion · Spain
Markets clearly expect one thing: the current trend carries on.
76/100
+4 / 24h
Electrification build-out
Energy · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: supply stays tight and prices hold up.
76/100
+6 / 24h
US mortgage rate path
Real estate · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: prices stabilise rather than fall further.
76/100
-3 / 24h
Obesity treatment rollout
Health · Euro area
Markets clearly expect one thing: the result comes out positive.
76/100
+3 / 24h
US jobs report
Economy · United States
Slight edge to one side: the decision goes the way markets already expect, but nothing is settled.
76/100
-8 / 24h
Crypto ETF flow trend
Crypto · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: money keeps flowing in.
76/100
-1 / 24h
Advanced packaging bottleneck
AI · Taiwan
Markets clearly expect one thing: AI spending keeps accelerating.
76/100
-2 / 24h
Drone production race
Defense & conflicts · Ukraine
Markets clearly expect one thing: more spending and more orders are coming.
76/100
+2 / 24h
Big Tech AI investment cycle
Technology · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
76/100
-3 / 24h
AI electricity demand shock
AI · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: AI spending keeps accelerating.
76/100
-1 / 24h
Satellite broadband expansion
Space · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: the launch happens on schedule.
75/100
-1 / 24h
Stadium tour season 2026
Music · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: demand clearly outstrips supply.
75/100
-6 / 24h
Lithography order book
Technology · Netherlands
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
75/100
-7 / 24h
Ceasefire probability window
Defense & conflicts · Ukraine
Markets bet the other way, they expect the fighting continues.
75/100
-5 / 24h
Streaming price increases
Music · Sweden
Markets clearly expect one thing: demand clearly outstrips supply.
75/100
-2 / 24h
German carmaker restructuring
Automotive · Germany
Markets clearly expect one thing: it plays out the way the market expects.
75/100
-1 / 24h
Central bank gold accumulation
Economy · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: the decision goes the way markets already expect.
75/100
-1 / 24h
Streaming subscriber season
Entertainment · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: the audience shows up as expected.
75/100
+3 / 24h
Chip export control review
Technology · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the numbers come in better than expected, or a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
74/100
+2 / 24h
Memory pricing cycle
Technology · South Korea
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
74/100
-2 / 24h
Semiconductor concentration risk
Technology · Taiwan
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
74/100
+5 / 24h
Next console hardware cycle
Gaming · Japan
Markets clearly expect one thing: the release lands on time and sells well.
74/100
-7 / 24h
Memory price cycle
Technology · South Korea
Markets clearly expect one thing: the numbers come in better than expected.
73/100
-4 / 24h
Satellite broadband expansion
Space · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: the launch happens on schedule.
73/100
+3 / 24h
Regional security situation
Geopolitics · Saudi Arabia
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: tension stays contained, with no major incident, or an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
73/100
+4 / 24h
Grid investment super-cycle
Energy · United States
Markets clearly expect one thing: supply stays tight and prices hold up.
73/100
+0 / 24h
Premier League title race
Sport · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the current leader keeps the title race in hand, or the chasing pack closes the gap.
73/100
-4 / 24h
IPL season economics
Sport · India
Markets clearly expect one thing: the strongest franchise reaches the final.
72/100
-3 / 24h
China growth target update
Economy · China
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
72/100
+1 / 24h
Jet fuel cost pressure
Travel · Global
Markets clearly expect one thing: bookings stay strong this season.
72/100
-4 / 24h
FIFA World Cup 2026 (US, Mexico, Canada)
Sport · United States
Slight edge to one side: the favourite comes out on top, but nothing is settled.
72/100
-1 / 24h
Cross-border parcel rules
Fashion · China
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the current trend carries on, or the trend reverses.
72/100
-1 / 24h
Turkish central bank decision
Economy · Türkiye
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
72/100
+0 / 24h
Indian growth and inflows
Economy · India
Markets clearly expect one thing: the decision goes the way markets already expect.
72/100
+2 / 24h
Grain corridor stability
Food & agri · Ukraine
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stay under upward pressure, or supply improves and prices come back down.
72/100
+1 / 24h
European gas storage path
Energy · Euro area
Markets clearly expect one thing: supply stays tight and prices hold up.
72/100
-3 / 24h
Chinese AI model push
AI · China
Markets clearly expect one thing: AI spending keeps accelerating.
72/100
+1 / 24h
Best Picture race
Cinema · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the release opens above expectations, or a weak opening.
71/100
-3 / 24h
Grand Slam season
Sport · Australia
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the world number one wins the title, or a new Grand Slam champion.
71/100
+2 / 24h
EU carbon price path
Climate · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: a more severe season than average, but nothing is settled.
71/100
+0 / 24h
Ammunition capacity expansion
Defense & conflicts · Germany
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
71/100
-1 / 24h
Eastern flank air defence orders
Defense & conflicts · Poland
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
71/100
+2 / 24h
Red Sea shipping disruption
Geopolitics · Egypt
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: shipping keeps avoiding the route, or traffic normalises and freight rates fall.
71/100
+2 / 24h
NBA playoff run
Sport · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a top seed reaches the finals, or a playoff upset.
71/100
-1 / 24h
K-pop comeback calendar
Music · South Korea
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-5 / 24h
Gulf property price run
Real estate · United Arab Emirates
Slight edge to one side: prices stabilise rather than fall further, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-1 / 24h
IPO window reopening
Business · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: things go the way the market is positioned, or the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
70/100
-2 / 24h
Bank stress test results
Business · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
70/100
+1 / 24h
Rice export policy
Food & agri · Thailand
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stay under upward pressure, or supply improves and prices come back down.
70/100
+4 / 24h
Major cyber incident window
Technology · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the numbers come in better than expected, or a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
70/100
-4 / 24h
Media consolidation round
Entertainment · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
70/100
+1 / 24h
Summer blockbuster slate
Cinema · United States
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-4 / 24h
Data-centre property demand
Real estate · Ireland
Slight edge to one side: prices stabilise rather than fall further, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-3 / 24h
Céline Dion's return to the stage
Music · Canada
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-7 / 24h
ECB rate decision
Economy · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: the ECB lowers rates, but nothing is settled.
70/100
+0 / 24h
Mobile game licence approvals
Gaming · China
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-1 / 24h
Technology export restrictions
Geopolitics · China
Slight edge to one side: tension stays contained, with no major incident, but nothing is settled.
70/100
+1 / 24h
European defence budgets
Politics · Germany
Slight edge to one side: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, but nothing is settled.
70/100
+0 / 24h
Gold jewellery season
Luxury · India
Slight edge to one side: demand holds up, but nothing is settled.
70/100
-2 / 24h
El Clásico and LaLiga run-in
Sport · Spain
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the home side of the Clásico is favoured, or a draw or an away win.
70/100
-2 / 24h
Beauty export boom
Luxury · South Korea
Slight edge to one side: demand holds up, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+2 / 24h
US midterm elections
Politics · United States
Slight edge to one side: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+0 / 24h
North American supply-chain shift
Business · Mexico
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+4 / 24h
India union budget
Economy · India
Slight edge to one side: the decision goes the way markets already expect, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+4 / 24h
Enterprise AI agent adoption
AI · United States
Slight edge to one side: AI spending keeps accelerating, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+7 / 24h
Sovereign AI compute deals
AI · United Arab Emirates
Slight edge to one side: AI spending keeps accelerating, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+3 / 24h
Creator ad-spend cycle
Entertainment · United States
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+2 / 24h
Next iPhone cycle
Technology · United States
Slight edge to one side: the numbers come in better than expected, but nothing is settled.
69/100
-7 / 24h
New LNG capacity wave
Energy · Qatar
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
69/100
-5 / 24h
Winter power price stress
Energy · France
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+0 / 24h
Solid-state battery progress
Science · China
Slight edge to one side: the milestone is reached, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+1 / 24h
Sports rights migration to streaming
Entertainment · United States
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
69/100
-4 / 24h
US debt limit negotiation
Economy · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a shutdown or a missed deadline.
69/100
-5 / 24h
Italian fiscal review
Politics · Italy
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: Italy sticks to its deficit path, or a clash with Brussels.
69/100
+2 / 24h
Container freight rate swing
Business · Singapore
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
69/100
+2 / 24h
Alzheimer's trial read-out
Health · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
68/100
-6 / 24h
Argentina currency regime test
Economy · Argentina
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
68/100
+1 / 24h
Gaming GPU supply squeeze
Gaming · Taiwan
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
68/100
-6 / 24h
Gene editing approval path
Science · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
68/100
+2 / 24h
Drug price negotiation round
Health · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
68/100
-2 / 24h
AI Act implementation phase
AI · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: AI spending keeps accelerating, but nothing is settled.
68/100
+5 / 24h
German coalition stability test
Politics · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the coalition holds together, or a break-up and early elections.
68/100
+5 / 24h
Solar manufacturing shakeout
Energy · China
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
68/100
-1 / 24h
Aircraft delivery targets
Travel · France
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
68/100
-5 / 24h
AI capex payback debate
AI · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect spending slows and the theme cools down.
68/100
+0 / 24h
Major oncology data drop
Health · United States
Slight edge to one side: the result comes out positive, but nothing is settled.
68/100
+2 / 24h
Chinese property stabilisation
Real estate · China
Markets bet the other way, they expect another leg down in prices.
68/100
-4 / 24h
Generic drug supply chain
Health · India
Slight edge to one side: the result comes out positive, but nothing is settled.
67/100
+1 / 24h
UK electoral cycle
Politics · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the leading party in the polls forms the government, or a hung parliament.
67/100
+1 / 24h
Refining margin squeeze
Energy · India
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
67/100
+1 / 24h
Bank of England decision
Economy · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
67/100
-7 / 24h
Paris Fashion Week
Fashion · France
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
67/100
+2 / 24h
Major festival lineup reveal
Music · United States
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
67/100
-3 / 24h
EU digital rules enforcement
Technology · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: the numbers come in better than expected, but nothing is settled.
67/100
+0 / 24h
Games industry M&A wave
Gaming · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the release lands on time and sells well, or a delay or a weak launch.
67/100
+1 / 24h
Latin music growth wave
Music · Mexico
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
67/100
+6 / 24h
New nuclear programmes
Energy · France
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
66/100
-1 / 24h
Inbound tourism season
Travel · Japan
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
66/100
+1 / 24h
Leisure booking curve
Travel · Global
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
66/100
+1 / 24h
Major antitrust ruling
Business · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: things go the way the market is positioned, or the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
66/100
+1 / 24h
Chinese holiday box office
Cinema · China
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
66/100
-1 / 24h
Swiss watch export data
Luxury · Switzerland
Slight edge to one side: demand holds up, but nothing is settled.
66/100
-2 / 24h
Serie A title fight
Sport · Italy
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the table leader holds on, or the title race goes to the final weeks.
66/100
+2 / 24h
Roland-Garros fortnight
Sport · France
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the top seed reaches the final, or an early exit for the favourite.
66/100
-1 / 24h
Crypto institutional flows
Crypto · Global
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
66/100
+1 / 24h
Anime licensing boom
Entertainment · Japan
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
66/100
-6 / 24h
Stablecoin legislation
Crypto · United States
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
66/100
+2 / 24h
Bank of Japan policy normalisation
Economy · Japan
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
66/100
+1 / 24h
Cotton price swing
Fashion · India
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
65/100
-2 / 24h
Brazilian monetary policy
Economy · Brazil
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
65/100
-1 / 24h
EU enlargement decision
Politics · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: talks advance a further step, or the process stalls again.
65/100
+1 / 24h
Indian car sales cycle
Automotive · India
Slight edge to one side: it plays out the way the market expects, but nothing is settled.
65/100
+1 / 24h
Clean energy subsidy review
Climate · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
65/100
+2 / 24h
Streaming pricing cycle
Entertainment · United States
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
65/100
+0 / 24h
Naval programme milestones
Defense & conflicts · United Kingdom
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
65/100
-4 / 24h
US shale output cycle
Energy · United States
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
65/100
-1 / 24h
Atlantic hurricane season
Climate · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
65/100
-5 / 24h
Crypto product approvals
Crypto · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: money keeps flowing in, or outflows and a sharp pullback.
64/100
+7 / 24h
MiCA licensing wave
Crypto · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
64/100
+8 / 24h
Gulf arms procurement
Defense & conflicts · Saudi Arabia
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
64/100
+9 / 24h
Food inflation trend
Food & agri · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: prices stay under upward pressure, but nothing is settled.
64/100
-4 / 24h
Crop science approvals
Science · Brazil
Slight edge to one side: the milestone is reached, but nothing is settled.
64/100
+6 / 24h
Private credit stress test
Business · United Kingdom
Markets bet the other way, they expect the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
64/100
+2 / 24h
Chinese space programme steps
Space · China
Slight edge to one side: the launch happens on schedule, but nothing is settled.
64/100
-2 / 24h
Africa Cup of Nations
Sport · Morocco
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: one of the top-ranked African sides wins, or an unseeded team reaches the final.
64/100
+4 / 24h
Japan inbound tourism boom
Travel · Japan
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
64/100
-5 / 24h
Bollywood release season
Cinema · India
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
64/100
+0 / 24h
ENSO weather pattern shift
Climate · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
64/100
-7 / 24h
Stablecoin regulation rollout
Crypto · United States
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
64/100
+0 / 24h
Ligue 1 broadcast economics
Sport · France
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the favourite club wins comfortably, or a tighter finish than expected.
63/100
+2 / 24h
Luxury resale pricing
Luxury · United States
Slight edge to one side: demand holds up, but nothing is settled.
63/100
+2 / 24h
COP climate summit
Climate · Brazil
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
63/100
+0 / 24h
Grid battery build-out
Energy · Australia
Slight edge to one side: supply stays tight and prices hold up, but nothing is settled.
63/100
+5 / 24h
Cloud gaming subscriber push
Gaming · United States
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
63/100
+0 / 24h
Los Angeles 2028 preparations
Sport · United States
Slight edge to one side: the favourite comes out on top, but nothing is settled.
63/100
+9 / 24h
Esports championship season
Gaming · South Korea
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
63/100
-3 / 24h
Luxury travel booking wave
Luxury · United Arab Emirates
Slight edge to one side: demand holds up, but nothing is settled.
63/100
-2 / 24h
Drought and water stress
Climate · Spain
Slight edge to one side: a more severe season than average, but nothing is settled.
63/100
-4 / 24h
South China Sea incidents
Geopolitics · Philippines
Markets bet the other way, they expect an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
63/100
+4 / 24h
Music catalogue deal wave
Music · United Kingdom
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
63/100
-9 / 24h
Outbreak surveillance alert
Health · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect a setback or a refusal.
63/100
+7 / 24h
Japanese governance reform
Business · Japan
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
63/100
-7 / 24h
Euro-area wage negotiations
Economy · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
63/100
+2 / 24h
Cannes market and Palme race
Cinema · France
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-2 / 24h
Milan collections season
Fashion · Italy
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-2 / 24h
Corporate cost-cutting round
Business · United States
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
62/100
+3 / 24h
Fertiliser cost cycle
Food & agri · Morocco
Slight edge to one side: prices stay under upward pressure, but nothing is settled.
62/100
+1 / 24h
African fintech funding round
Business · Kenya
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-1 / 24h
UK house price direction
Real estate · United Kingdom
Slight edge to one side: prices stabilise rather than fall further, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-3 / 24h
Awards season campaign
Entertainment · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
62/100
-2 / 24h
Office valuation reset
Real estate · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect another leg down in prices.
62/100
-7 / 24h
Sneaker launch cycle
Fashion · United States
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
62/100
+4 / 24h
Franchise reboot slate
Cinema · United States
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-1 / 24h
Theatrical window renegotiation
Cinema · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the release opens above expectations, or a weak opening.
62/100
-2 / 24h
Global stadium tour season
Music · Global
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
62/100
-8 / 24h
Eurovision Song Contest
Music · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: demand clearly outstrips supply, or demand is softer than the hype suggests.
61/100
-2 / 24h
Wildfire season severity
Climate · Canada
Slight edge to one side: a more severe season than average, but nothing is settled.
61/100
+3 / 24h
AI rulebook implementation
Technology · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the numbers come in better than expected, or a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
61/100
+3 / 24h
Entry and visa rule changes
Travel · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
61/100
+6 / 24h
Mining profitability squeeze
Crypto · United States
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
61/100
+2 / 24h
Theme-park attendance season
Entertainment · United States
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
61/100
-3 / 24h
App store fee ruling
Gaming · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the release lands on time and sells well, or a delay or a weak launch.
61/100
-3 / 24h
Robotaxi permit expansion
Automotive · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect the opposite, and margins take the hit.
61/100
-7 / 24h
Mexican reform package
Politics · Mexico
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, or a political surprise.
61/100
+4 / 24h
Battery metal supply swing
Automotive · Chile
Slight edge to one side: it plays out the way the market expects, but nothing is settled.
61/100
-6 / 24h
Military space contracts
Defense & conflicts · United States
Slight edge to one side: more spending and more orders are coming, but nothing is settled.
61/100
-1 / 24h
Dynamic ticket pricing scrutiny
Entertainment · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
61/100
+3 / 24h
Fishing quota decisions
Food & agri · Norway
Slight edge to one side: prices stay under upward pressure, but nothing is settled.
61/100
+0 / 24h
Cruise booking season
Travel · United States
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
61/100
-2 / 24h
Indian state elections
Politics · India
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, or a political surprise.
61/100
+4 / 24h
Heavy-launch cadence
Space · United States
Slight edge to one side: the launch happens on schedule, but nothing is settled.
61/100
+2 / 24h
Sportswear demand check
Fashion · Germany
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
60/100
-2 / 24h
Premium format expansion
Cinema · United States
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
60/100
-3 / 24h
European summer travel season
Travel · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: bookings stay strong this season, but nothing is settled.
60/100
-3 / 24h
India data-centre build-out
Technology · India
Slight edge to one side: the numbers come in better than expected, but nothing is settled.
60/100
-1 / 24h
Bundesliga season finish
Sport · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the dominant club keeps its lead, or a genuine title fight.
60/100
+0 / 24h
AI copyright rulings
AI · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: AI spending keeps accelerating, or spending slows and the theme cools down.
60/100
+6 / 24h
Sahel security deterioration
Geopolitics · Nigeria
Markets bet the other way, they expect an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
60/100
+2 / 24h
International rugby window
Sport · New Zealand
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the favourite nation wins the tournament, or an upset in the closing round.
60/100
+7 / 24h
Tariff risk on luxury imports
Luxury · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect spending slows down further.
60/100
-5 / 24h
European launcher cadence
Space · France
Slight edge to one side: the launch happens on schedule, but nothing is settled.
60/100
+5 / 24h
Console and blockbuster release cycle
Entertainment · Japan
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
60/100
-12 / 24h
Merger and acquisition cycle
Business · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: things go the way the market is positioned, or the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
60/100
+4 / 24h
Hybrid demand resurgence
Automotive · Japan
Slight edge to one side: it plays out the way the market expects, but nothing is settled.
60/100
+3 / 24h
Commodity export cycle
Business · Australia
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
59/100
+0 / 24h
UK festival season
Music · United Kingdom
Slight edge to one side: demand clearly outstrips supply, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-5 / 24h
Korean film export wave
Cinema · South Korea
Slight edge to one side: the release opens above expectations, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-3 / 24h
Winter vaccination campaign
Health · Euro area
Slight edge to one side: the result comes out positive, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-5 / 24h
Blockbuster release slate
Entertainment · United States
Slight edge to one side: the audience shows up as expected, but nothing is settled.
59/100
+0 / 24h
Celebrity brand launches
Fashion · United States
Slight edge to one side: the current trend carries on, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-2 / 24h
Climate litigation rulings
Climate · Netherlands
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
59/100
+3 / 24h
Warehouse demand cycle
Real estate · Netherlands
Slight edge to one side: prices stabilise rather than fall further, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-2 / 24h
Carbon market reform
Climate · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
59/100
+2 / 24h
Chinese fiscal stimulus package
Economy · China
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
59/100
+4 / 24h
Equity listing window
Business · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: things go the way the market is positioned, or the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
59/100
-8 / 24h
Gulf megaproject pipeline
Business · Saudi Arabia
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned, but nothing is settled.
59/100
-6 / 24h
Studio restructuring wave
Gaming · Canada
Slight edge to one side: the release lands on time and sells well, but nothing is settled.
58/100
+0 / 24h
French political and budget risk
Politics · France
Slight edge to one side: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, but nothing is settled.
58/100
+6 / 24h
Tokenised asset adoption
Crypto · Singapore
Slight edge to one side: money keeps flowing in, but nothing is settled.
58/100
-4 / 24h
Quantum computing milestone
Technology · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
58/100
+8 / 24h
Olive oil price relief
Food & agri · Spain
Slight edge to one side: prices stay under upward pressure, but nothing is settled.
58/100
+2 / 24h
German construction slowdown
Real estate · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stabilise rather than fall further, or another leg down in prices.
57/100
+0 / 24h
Nordic readiness debate
Defense & conflicts · Sweden
Markets bet the other way, they expect budgets and orders are put off.
57/100
+8 / 24h
Medtech approval cycle
Health · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
57/100
-2 / 24h
Carbon border levy rollout
Climate · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
57/100
+1 / 24h
Corporate travel recovery
Travel · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
57/100
-3 / 24h
Mediterranean tourism season
Travel · Spain
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
57/100
-4 / 24h
Auto loan delinquency trend
Automotive · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect the opposite, and margins take the hit.
57/100
+1 / 24h
AI labour-market effects
AI · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: AI spending keeps accelerating, or spending slows and the theme cools down.
57/100
-6 / 24h
Exchange counterparty scare
Crypto · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect outflows and a sharp pullback.
57/100
+0 / 24h
Japanese political transition
Politics · Japan
Markets bet the other way, they expect a change of majority.
57/100
-1 / 24h
Brazilian fiscal reform vote
Politics · Brazil
Markets bet the other way, they expect a political surprise.
57/100
-1 / 24h
Gulf hub traffic growth
Travel · Qatar
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
57/100
+1 / 24h
Housing market turn
Economy · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
57/100
+2 / 24h
Tourism restriction rules
Travel · Spain
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
57/100
+7 / 24h
Canadian mortgage renewal wave
Economy · Canada
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
56/100
+1 / 24h
Autumn art auction season
Luxury · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: demand holds up, or spending slows down further.
56/100
-2 / 24h
Awards season
Music · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: demand clearly outstrips supply, or demand is softer than the hype suggests.
56/100
+2 / 24h
Reconstruction financing
Geopolitics · Ukraine
Markets bet the other way, they expect an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
56/100
+3 / 24h
Refining capacity ramp-up
Energy · Nigeria
Markets bet the other way, they expect supply loosens and prices fall back.
56/100
+5 / 24h
Brazil Selic decision
Economy · Brazil
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
56/100
-12 / 24h
Biotech funding window
Health · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
56/100
+1 / 24h
Swiss National Bank decision
Economy · Switzerland
Markets bet the other way, they expect a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
56/100
-5 / 24h
State election cycle
Politics · India
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, or a political surprise.
56/100
-1 / 24h
Podcast rights bidding
Entertainment · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
56/100
+3 / 24h
Korean peninsula tension
Geopolitics · South Korea
Markets bet the other way, they expect an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
56/100
-2 / 24h
Live theatre recovery
Entertainment · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
56/100
-10 / 24h
Advanced materials breakthrough
Science · Japan
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
56/100
+5 / 24h
G7 leaders summit
Geopolitics · Canada
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: tension stays contained, with no major incident, or an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
56/100
-1 / 24h
European film funding round
Cinema · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the release opens above expectations, or a weak opening.
55/100
-1 / 24h
Rent regulation decisions
Real estate · Spain
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stabilise rather than fall further, or another leg down in prices.
55/100
-6 / 24h
Subsea cable capacity
Technology · Singapore
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the numbers come in better than expected, or a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
55/100
-2 / 24h
Earth observation contracts
Space · India
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the launch happens on schedule, or a delay or a failure.
55/100
+0 / 24h
AI voice licensing fight
Music · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect demand is softer than the hype suggests.
55/100
-2 / 24h
Brain-interface trial results
Science · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect the milestone slips further out.
55/100
+1 / 24h
Department store footfall
Fashion · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the current trend carries on, or the trend reverses.
54/100
-1 / 24h
UK fiscal statement
Politics · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, or a political surprise.
54/100
+4 / 24h
US government funding deadline
Politics · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a political surprise.
54/100
-5 / 24h
Fusion energy milestone
Science · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect the milestone slips further out.
54/100
-15 / 24h
Safe-haven demand
Economy · Switzerland
Markets bet the other way, they expect a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
54/100
-1 / 24h
European winter gas balance
Energy · Euro area
Markets bet the other way, they expect supply loosens and prices fall back.
54/100
-10 / 24h
Tokyo property yields
Real estate · Japan
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stabilise rather than fall further, or another leg down in prices.
54/100
+2 / 24h
Dining demand check
Food & agri · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stay under upward pressure, or supply improves and prices come back down.
54/100
-5 / 24h
DeFi yield compression
Crypto · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: money keeps flowing in, or outflows and a sharp pullback.
54/100
-2 / 24h
Truck order cycle
Automotive · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: it plays out the way the market expects, or the opposite, and margins take the hit.
54/100
-3 / 24h
European club football knockout rounds
Sport · Euro area
Markets bet the other way, they expect an upset by the outsider.
54/100
-9 / 24h
Prime property price cycle
Luxury · Switzerland
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: demand holds up, or spending slows down further.
54/100
-3 / 24h
Electricity supply stability
Energy · South Africa
Markets bet the other way, they expect supply loosens and prices fall back.
53/100
-1 / 24h
Hydrogen project final decisions
Energy · Germany
Markets bet the other way, they expect supply loosens and prices fall back.
53/100
+3 / 24h
Orbital debris risk
Space · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect a delay or a failure.
53/100
-1 / 24h
Charging network build-out
Automotive · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: it plays out the way the market expects, or the opposite, and margins take the hit.
53/100
-7 / 24h
CBDC pilot expansion
Crypto · China
Markets bet the other way, they expect outflows and a sharp pullback.
53/100
-1 / 24h
Italian budget process
Politics · Italy
Markets bet the other way, they expect a political surprise.
52/100
+2 / 24h
Polar ice measurements
Climate · Norway
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
52/100
+3 / 24h
Atlantic storm season
Climate · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a milder outcome than feared.
51/100
-3 / 24h
Particle physics results
Science · Switzerland
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
51/100
+2 / 24h
Mental health services funding
Health · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
51/100
+1 / 24h
Poland EU funds decision
Politics · Poland
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the outcome markets are betting on is confirmed, or a political surprise.
51/100
-5 / 24h
Alternative protein reset
Food & agri · Netherlands
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: prices stay under upward pressure, or supply improves and prices come back down.
51/100
+2 / 24h
Theatrical box office season
Entertainment · United States
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the audience shows up as expected, or audiences fall short.
51/100
-4 / 24h
Textile waste rules
Fashion · Euro area
Markets bet the other way, they expect the trend reverses.
50/100
+0 / 24h
Chinese luxury demand
Business · China
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: things go the way the market is positioned, or the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
50/100
-4 / 24h
Ocean and reef monitoring
Science · Australia
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
50/100
+0 / 24h
Navigation system resilience
Space · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the launch happens on schedule, or a delay or a failure.
49/100
+2 / 24h
Lunar mission schedule
Space · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect a delay or a failure.
49/100
-1 / 24h
European rail investment
Travel · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: bookings stay strong this season, or bookings weaken.
49/100
+0 / 24h
German industrial cycle
Economy · Germany
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the decision goes the way markets already expect, or a surprise that forces prices to be rewritten.
49/100
+5 / 24h
Climate finance negotiations
Climate · Brazil
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: a more severe season than average, or a milder outcome than feared.
48/100
+1 / 24h
Arctic route competition
Geopolitics · Norway
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: tension stays contained, with no major incident, or an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
48/100
+1 / 24h
Antimicrobial resistance push
Science · United Kingdom
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
48/100
+0 / 24h
Next quantum computing milestone
Technology · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect a disappointment that weighs on the whole sector.
47/100
+3 / 24h
Public research budget round
Science · Euro area
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: the milestone is reached, or the milestone slips further out.
47/100
-7 / 24h
Commercial spaceflight bookings
Space · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a delay or a failure.
46/100
+1 / 24h
Oil supply and demand balance
Energy · Global
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: supply stays tight and prices hold up, or supply loosens and prices fall back.
45/100
+3 / 24h
Taiwan Strait tensions
Geopolitics · Taiwan
It is a coin flip, two scenarios, equally credible: tension stays contained, with no major incident, or an escalation that lifts oil and defence prices.
45/100
-5 / 24h
Space resource ventures
Space · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a delay or a failure.
44/100
-4 / 24h
Headset adoption test
Gaming · United States
Markets bet the other way, they expect a delay or a weak launch.
44/100
-1 / 24h
Seasonal outbreak monitoring
Health · Global
Markets bet the other way, they expect a setback or a refusal.
42/100
-3 / 24h
Global luxury demand cycle
Business · France
Markets bet the other way, they expect the opposite, and a brutal repricing.
41/100
+1 / 24h
