Iron ore is the swing factor for the whole index
Chinese steel output guidance dominates every other local driver.
Event on Sep 19 · in 2 days
The prediction, in plain language
Slight edgeSlight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned — but nothing is settled.
No betting price here — markets point this way with a signal strength of 64/100, strengthening by 2 points in 24h, medium confidence.
What to anticipate: China steel data. A surprise there can flip this reading within hours.
This is what market prices currently imply — not a certainty. Readings change as new information arrives.
+2 / 24h
Confidence: Medium
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Sign inWhy this signal
Data — Iron ore weakened by 2 points over 24 hours, with volume above its 30-day average. Cross-checked against 3 linked markets.
Context — Earnings guidance and credit spreads reveal what companies expect next.
Interpretation — Taken together, prices point to a clear directional bias and a signal strength of 58/100 on this event.
Uncertainty — Confidence is medium. This is what prices imply today, not a forecast — a single surprise can reverse it.
Cross-market confirmation
AUD
−0.4%
What could change it
- China steel data
- Export volumes
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