Global market intelligence
Markets bet on the future. We translate those bets.
One number per event — how strongly prices point to it — plus a plain-language explanation and what could prove it wrong.
Fonlis makes market expectations easy to understand. The data is real, the readings are not guarantees: the future stays uncertain and prices can be wrong.
Lead signal
Live updateMarkets are actively pricing “FIFA World Cup 2026 build-up”
Airlines and Hotels have moved in the same direction over recent sessions, which is what drives this reading.
Why this signal
Data — Airlines strengthened by 9 points over 24 hours, cross-checked against 4 linked markets.
Context — Broadcast rights, sponsorship and travel bookings move ahead of the competition itself.
See the full analysis →
Happening now
The signals that moved most in the last 24 hours.
Traders keep repositioning ahead of “Stablecoin regulation rollout”
-16 pts / 24h
🇺🇸Pricing around “Biotech funding window” is moving fast
-15 pts / 24h
🇺🇸Pricing around “Entry and visa rule changes” is moving fast
-12 pts / 24h
🇯🇵Traders keep repositioning ahead of “Japanese governance reform”
-12 pts / 24h
🇨🇳Traders keep repositioning ahead of “Chinese holiday box office”
-11 pts / 24h
🇪🇺Summer fares are holding above last year
-11 pts / 24h
Biggest moves
Traders keep repositioning ahead of “Stablecoin regulation rollout”
It is a coin flip — two scenarios, equally credible: money keeps flowing in, or outflows and a sharp pullback.
56%
Implied probability
Pricing around “Biotech funding window” is moving fast
It is a coin flip — two scenarios, equally credible: the result comes out positive, or a setback or a refusal.
Positive
Market sentiment
Pricing around “Entry and visa rule changes” is moving fast
Markets bet the other way — they expect bookings weaken.
39%
Implied probability
Traders keep repositioning ahead of “Japanese governance reform”
Slight edge to one side: things go the way the market is positioned — but nothing is settled.
Positive
Market sentiment
Upcoming events
India union budget
📈Economy
Sep 17
tomorrow
Swiss National Bank decision
📈Economy
Sep 17
tomorrow
Chip export control review
🤖Technology
Sep 17
tomorrow
Red Sea shipping disruption
🌍Geopolitics
Sep 17
tomorrow
Ammunition capacity expansion
🛡️Defense & conflicts
Sep 17
tomorrow
Implied probabilities reflect market prices, not predictions. Every signal is timestamped and traceable.